Long XYZ, short AXP, same sector: $1 of XYZ against $1.88 of AXP, sized so that a typical day moves each leg by about the same amount. The spread is +10.9% over the last 120 sessions, +2.8% over the last 20, and today's level sits at the 92nd percentile of its own path, very stretched, widening over the last ten sessions. Alpha 50 against 24, a gap of +26 points (-16 ten sessions ago). Net market exposure at this sizing: −0.07, a clean relative bet. The two are co-movers on the desk's own test.
Not on the desk's list as of Nov 10, three sessions behind. Pro sees today's list.
The last 8 times these two sat this far above their one-year average, 0 closed half the gap within ten sessions: a spread that has tended to keep going. No hand-off in view: neither leg is where a cycle pair starts.
One line of your account split $1 : $1.88 across the legs at the last close (XYZ $82.50, AXP $318.50); fractions included. Arithmetic on a setting you choose, not a recommendation.
The house book has not closed a trade in this pair.
The house takes every listed cycle pair by the rules, after average trading costs; its full record is on the engine page. Pairs you assemble yourself are ideas, not posted trades: the Hedge pairs chapter says how the two differ.
Each leg against its sector fund, and each leg's true peers.
How to read it: the spread is what $1 long XYZ and $1.88 short AXP would have made together, in percent of the long leg, close to close, before costs; the market's move cancels in it to the extent the two legs share it. Stretch is where today's level sits among the last 120 sessions of that path, a description of the spread's own history and not a forecast. Net β is the pair's remaining market exposure per $1 long at this sizing (each leg's beta over 250 sessions). The pages for XYZ and AXP carry each leg on its own.