ASML is in a weakness run today: Alpha 31, bearish, with the flat tape behind it, and the longer trend against it by the engine's own read. Not on the desk's list as of Nov 10, three sessions behind. Pro sees today's list.
| shape | runs | finished up | average | best | worst | profit factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength run, long | 39 | 62% | +1.6% | +18.7% | -10.2% | 2.30 |
| Weakness run, hedged short | 18 | 39% | -0.5% | +25.2% | -13.6% | 0.79 |
Every completed run of each shape in this name since 2019, at the desk's exit, before costs. The Trades chapter explains the shapes; the engine page has the same numbers for every name pooled.
| posted | shape | held | result | exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | hedged short | 2d | -5.8% | Alpha over 40 |
| Sep 29 | strength run | 5d | 0.0% | Alpha under 60 |
| Aug 17 | strength run | 2d | -7.2% | Alpha under 60 |
| Aug 12 | strength run | 1d | +2.1% | Alpha under 60 |
| Jul 20 | strength run | 5d | -4.9% | Alpha under 60 |
The house book has not closed a trade in ASML yet.
The house takes every listed trade by the rules, after average trading costs. Its full record, by generation, is on the engine page.
Names that move with ASML once the market is taken out, on the desk's own test.
Each pair has a page of its own: the spread with the market cancelled, both legs' Alpha, where the spread sits in its own history, and the desk's sizing. All pairs.