ECL is in a strength run today: Alpha 78, bullish, stretched, with the flat tape behind it, and the longer trend with it by the engine's own read. Not on the desk's list as of Nov 10, three sessions behind. Pro sees today's list.
| shape | runs | finished up | average | best | worst | profit factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength run, long | 38 | 53% | +0.3% | +9.8% | -13.6% | 1.29 |
| Weakness run, hedged short | 19 | 37% | -0.4% | +7.7% | -4.7% | 0.72 |
Every completed run of each shape in this name since 2019, at the desk's exit, before costs. The Trades chapter explains the shapes; the engine page has the same numbers for every name pooled.
| posted | shape | held | result | exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | strength run | 21d | +9.5% | day-21 cap |
| Sep 21 | hedged short | 1d | -0.6% | Alpha over 40 |
| Aug 20 | strength run | 8d | -0.4% | Alpha under 60 |
| Aug 7 | strength run | 3d | -2.4% | Alpha under 60 |
| Jul 29 | strength run | 10d | -1.9% | Alpha under 60 |
| Jul 22 | hedged short | 3d | -0.6% | Alpha over 40 |
| Jun 4 | hedged short | 1d | -3.4% | Alpha over 40 |
The house book has not closed a trade in ECL yet.
The house takes every listed trade by the rules, after average trading costs. Its full record, by generation, is on the engine page.
Names that move with ECL once the market is taken out, on the desk's own test.
Each pair has a page of its own: the spread with the market cancelled, both legs' Alpha, where the spread sits in its own history, and the desk's sizing. All pairs.