NVDA is in a weakness run today: Alpha 17, bearish, deeply discounted, with the flat tape behind it, and the longer trend against it by the engine's own read. It was on the desk's list as of Nov 10 as a hedged short, #9. Pro sees today's list.
| shape | runs | finished up | average | best | worst | profit factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength run, long | 48 | 58% | +3.5% | +35.8% | -21.4% | 2.87 |
| Weakness run, hedged short | 14 | 43% | -0.3% | +7.6% | -8.3% | 0.84 |
Every completed run of each shape in this name since 2019, at the desk's exit, before costs. The Trades chapter explains the shapes; the engine page has the same numbers for every name pooled.
| posted | shape | held | result | exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | strength run | 5d | -0.2% | Alpha under 60 |
| Sep 21 | strength run | 13d | +1.4% | Alpha under 60 |
| Aug 6 | strength run | 2d | -0.7% | Alpha under 60 |
| Jul 23 | strength run | 2d | -6.0% | Alpha under 60 |
| entered | trade | held | result | exit | gen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | long · long run | 5d | +0.4% | Alpha under 60 | Bernoulli |
The house takes every listed trade by the rules, after average trading costs. Its full record, by generation, is on the engine page.
Names that move with NVDA once the market is taken out, on the desk's own test.
Each pair has a page of its own: the spread with the market cancelled, both legs' Alpha, where the spread sits in its own history, and the desk's sizing. All pairs.